Portekiz U20 1-4 Danimarka U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
3.46
6+ Goals
7%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 35% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.6pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U20 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka U20 EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U20
1-4
AWAY Danimarka U20
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portekiz U20 vs Danimarka U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka U20 cruised past Portekiz U20 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Portekiz U20 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portekiz U20 had 56% of the ball to Danimarka U20's 44%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Portekiz U20 vs Danimarka U20?

Portekiz U20 1-4 Danimarka U20 in the Friendlies on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U20 vs Danimarka U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U20 53%, draw 22%, Danimarka U20 25%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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