Letonya 1-1 Lihtenştayn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.28
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
23%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
74%
-18.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
9%
+14.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Lihtenştayn EU Bookmakers 11%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
471 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Lihtenştayn
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
22.03.2013 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 1-1 HT 1-1 Letonya Letonya DKE
16.10.2012 Letonya Letonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
08.06.2005 Letonya Letonya 1-0 HT 1-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
17.11.2004 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 1-3 HT 1-1 Letonya Letonya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Letonya
1-1
AWAY Lihtenştayn
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Letonya vs Lihtenştayn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya and Lihtenştayn couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Letonya carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Letonya had 69% of the ball to Lihtenştayn's 31%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Letonya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Letonya and 0.50 for Lihtenştayn.

What was the final score of Letonya vs Lihtenştayn?

Letonya 1-1 Lihtenştayn in the Friendlies on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya vs Lihtenştayn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Letonya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Letonya 56%, draw 21%, Lihtenştayn 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Letonya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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