Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
34%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanuatu The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brunei The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vanuatu vs Brunei
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brunei nicked a narrow win over Vanuatu 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vanuatu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Vanuatu vs Brunei?

Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei in the Friendlies on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanuatu vs Brunei?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanuatu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vanuatu 43%, draw 27%, Brunei 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vanuatu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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