Şili 0-0 Ekvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2025

Şili
0-0 HT 0-0
Ekvador
📅26/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Şili vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.41
Over 2.5
33%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
6.38
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
17%
5.4
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
21%
3.31
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.18
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
67%
-0.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
33%
+0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Şili v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.60/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.61
+129% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.0 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Şili vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ekvador
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2023 Ekvador Ekvador 1-0 HT 1-0 Şili Şili DKE
17.11.2021 Şili Şili 0-2 HT 0-1 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
06.09.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 0-0 HT 0-0 Şili Şili DKE
22.06.2019 Ekvador Ekvador 1-2 HT 1-1 Şili Şili AKU
06.10.2017 Şili Şili 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
07.10.2016 Ekvador Ekvador 3-0 HT 2-0 Şili Şili DKE

Şili 0-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili
0-0
AWAY Ekvador
0.68 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
510 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Şili vs Ekvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili and Ekvador played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Şili had 60% of the ball to Ekvador's 40%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.68 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ekvador led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Şili and 1.33 for Ekvador.

What was the final score of Şili vs Ekvador?

Şili 0-0 Ekvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili vs Ekvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Şili 38%, draw 33%, Ekvador 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Şili) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Şili) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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