Venezuela vs Peru Prediction — Model Probabilities
Venezuela v Peru — Team-Based Signals
Venezuela vs Peru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Venezuela 1-0 Peru — Actual Match Statistics
Venezuela nicked a narrow win over Peru 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Venezuela as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) landed.
On the day, Venezuela had 39% of the ball to Peru's 61%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.87 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Venezuela's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peru led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Venezuela and 1.17 for Peru.
Venezuela vs Peru Result & Final Score
Venezuela 1 - 0 Peru in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Venezuela vs Peru Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Venezuela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Venezuela 45%, draw 34%, Peru 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezuela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.