Venezuela 1-0 Peru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2025

Venezuela
1-0 HT 1-0
Peru
📅26/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Venezuela vs Peru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.77
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.9
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.31
X/2
13%
7.47
X/X
19%
3.5
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
11%
6.68
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.6pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezuela v Peru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peru EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -20%
1.20/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.31
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.1 Crosses 17.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Venezuela vs Peru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezuela
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Peru
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 306
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2023 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
17.11.2021 Venezuela Venezuela 1-2 HT 0-1 Peru Peru Güney Amerika - DK Elemeler
06.09.2021 Peru Peru 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
28.06.2021 Venezuela Venezuela 0-1 HT 0-0 Peru Peru AKU
15.06.2019 Venezuela Venezuela 0-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru AKU
24.03.2017 Venezuela Venezuela 2-2 HT 2-0 Peru Peru DKE

Venezuela 1-0 Peru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela
1-0
AWAY Peru
1.87 xG 0.47
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
210 Passes 371
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezuela vs Peru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela nicked a narrow win over Peru 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Venezuela made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Venezuela had 39% of the ball to Peru's 61%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.87 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Venezuela's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peru led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Venezuela and 1.17 for Peru.

What was the final score of Venezuela vs Peru?

Venezuela 1-0 Peru in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela vs Peru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezuela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Venezuela 38%, draw 34%, Peru 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezuela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venezuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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