Senegal 2-0 Togo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2025

Senegal
2-0 HT 1-0
Togo
📅26/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Senegal vs Togo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.2pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.0pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Senegal v Togo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Senegal EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Togo EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.37/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/1.31
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.3 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Senegal vs Togo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Senegal
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Togo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.58 xG 0.18
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
337 Passes 158
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Togo Togo 0-0 HT 0-0 Senegal Senegal DKE
11.11.2021 Togo Togo 1-1 HT 1-0 Senegal Senegal DKE
01.09.2021 Senegal Senegal 2-0 HT 0-0 Togo Togo DKE
18.06.2005 Senegal Senegal 2-2 HT 2-1 Togo Togo DKE

Senegal 2-0 Togo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Senegal
2-0
AWAY Togo
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Senegal vs Togo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senegal beat Togo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Senegal as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Senegal had 57% of the ball to Togo's 43%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Senegal had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Senegal and 0.75 for Togo.

What was the final score of Senegal vs Togo?

Senegal 2-0 Togo in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Senegal vs Togo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Senegal win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Senegal 61%, draw 24%, Togo 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Senegal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Senegal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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