Cezayir 5-1 Mozambik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.4pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cezayir EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Mozambik EU Bookmakers 11%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.16/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.39
+35% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +58%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cezayir
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mozambik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.75 xG 0.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Mozambik Mozambik 0-2 HT 0-0 Cezayir Cezayir DKE
21.01.2023 Mozambik Mozambik 0-1 HT 0-1 Cezayir Cezayir AUŞ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cezayir
5-1
AWAY Mozambik
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
3 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cezayir vs Mozambik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir swept aside Mozambik 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cezayir had 63% of the ball to Mozambik's 37%, shots finished 25-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cezayir had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cezayir and 0.00 for Mozambik.

What was the final score of Cezayir vs Mozambik?

Cezayir 5-1 Mozambik in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cezayir vs Mozambik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cezayir 61%, draw 22%, Mozambik 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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