Arjantin 4-1 Brezilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 26 Mar 2025

Arjantin
4-1 HT 3-1
Brezilya
📅26/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Arjantin vs Brezilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.17
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
21%
4.68
X/2
8%
6.69
X/X
13%
3.27
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.77
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arjantin v Brezilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.50/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.50
-89% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
14.0 Crosses 3.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Arjantin vs Brezilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brezilya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.71 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 405
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.11.2023 Brezilya Brezilya 0-1 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
17.11.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 0-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
11.07.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya Brezilya AKU
15.11.2019 Brezilya Brezilya 0-1 HT 0-1 Arjantin Arjantin HAZ
03.07.2019 Brezilya Brezilya 2-0 HT 1-0 Arjantin Arjantin AKU
16.10.2018 Arjantin Arjantin 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya HAZTUR

Arjantin 4-1 Brezilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
4-1
AWAY Brezilya
1.76 xG 0.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
475 Passes 373
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 3
11 Crosses 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Brezilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin cruised past Brezilya 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arjantin had 56% of the ball to Brezilya's 44%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 1.76 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arjantin and 0.50 for Brezilya.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Brezilya?

Arjantin 4-1 Brezilya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Brezilya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 46%, draw 27%, Brezilya 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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