Famalicao U23 2-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.75/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.26
+6% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2026 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
08.04.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
28.01.2025 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
05.03.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-3 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
2-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 edged past Sporting CP U23 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 61% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 39%, shots finished 20-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.00 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Famalicao U23 2-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 51%, draw 22%, Sporting CP U23 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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