Famalicao U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-10.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
3.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.00
+88% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.03.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-3 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 and Sporting CP U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 52% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.50 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Famalicao U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 29%, draw 29%, Sporting CP U23 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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