Santa Clara U23 1-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
41%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+9.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.80/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/2.45
+10% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.12.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 2-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
02.10.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
27.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 HT 0-2 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-1
AWAY Mafra U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 and Mafra U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mafra U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 49% of the ball to Mafra U23's 51%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.00 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Mafra U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 30%, draw 28%, Mafra U23 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mafra U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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