Gil Vicente U23 3-1 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.6pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.34/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
-18% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -72%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 3-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
20.08.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
16.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-0 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
14.02.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 4-3 HT 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
3-1
AWAY Vizela U23
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 saw off Vizela U23 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 37% of the ball to Vizela U23's 63%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vizela U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 2.75 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Gil Vicente U23 3-1 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 37%, draw 24%, Vizela U23 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vizela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
28 Jan 2025
18:00 Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Analysis →
18:00 Santa Clara U23 vs Mafra U23 Analysis →
18:00 Leixoes U23 vs Academico Viseu U23 Analysis →
18:00 Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23 Analysis →