Rio Ave U23 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
31%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
51%
Away Win
44%
+6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.64/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.17
+100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-0 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
24.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
09.01.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-3 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
04.11.2023 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
0-1
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 nicked a narrow win over Rio Ave U23 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 53% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 47%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 2.00 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Rio Ave U23 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 24%, draw 26%, Sporting Braga U23 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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