Leixoes U23 1-0 Academico Viseu U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
37%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.6pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
37%
Away Win
52%
-15.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-2 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 UŞGA
25.09.2024 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 0-4 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
29.03.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 2-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-0
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Academico Viseu U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 edged past Academico Viseu U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Leixoes U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 47% of the ball to Academico Viseu U23's 53%, shots finished 6-1.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leixoes U23 and 1.33 for Academico Viseu U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Leixoes U23 1-0 Academico Viseu U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 31%, draw 32%, Academico Viseu U23 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academico Viseu U23), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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