Sporting CP U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.24/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.79
-20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +100%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Famalicao U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2025 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
05.03.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-3 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
1-1
AWAY Famalicao U23
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 and Famalicao U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 39% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 61%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 0.67 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Sporting CP U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 42%, draw 25%, Famalicao U23 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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