Vizela U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
3.93/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.16
+137% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
05.11.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 3-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
20.08.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
16.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-0 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
14.02.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 4-3 HT 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
0-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 squeezed past Vizela U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 57% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 43%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vizela U23 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Vizela U23 and 1.80 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Vizela U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 50%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente U23 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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