Mafra U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.51
-22% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
17.12.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 2-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
02.10.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
27.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 HT 0-2 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
3-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 got the better of Santa Clara U23 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Mafra U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 48% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 52%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mafra U23 and 2.25 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Mafra U23 3-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 38%, draw 24%, Santa Clara U23 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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