Drochtersen / Assel 2-3 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.00/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.84
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
2W-1D-0L
AWAY BW Lohne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
27.10.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 0-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 HT 1-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-2 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BW Lohne squeezed past Drochtersen / Assel 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Drochtersen / Assel at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 0.33 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs BW Lohne?

Drochtersen / Assel 2-3 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 49%, draw 26%, BW Lohne 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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