Velbert 2-1 Wegberg-Beeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.57
Draw
36%
4.08
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
60%
-18.3pp
36%
Draw
22%
+14.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velbert EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velbert
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
03.11.2023 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 1-1 HT 0-0 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velbert
2-1
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Velbert vs Wegberg-Beeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velbert nicked a narrow win over Wegberg-Beeck 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Velbert as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Velbert had 53% of the ball to Wegberg-Beeck's 47%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Velbert vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Velbert 2-1 Wegberg-Beeck in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velbert vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velbert win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Velbert 42%, draw 36%, Wegberg-Beeck 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velbert), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velbert) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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