Dundela 2-3 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.0
2-3 Goals
38%
2.19
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.4pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.33/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.32
+15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 3-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
27.12.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
13.10.2023 Dundela Dundela 2-1 HT 2-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
27.12.2022 Dundela Dundela 2-3 HT 2-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
27.08.2022 Dundela Dundela 3-0 HT 1-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
11.03.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-3 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundela
2-3
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders squeezed past Dundela 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dundela at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundela had 49% of the ball to Harland & Wolff Welders's 51%, shots finished 20-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dundela and 1.83 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Dundela 2-3 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dundela 47%, draw 24%, Harland & Wolff Welders 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundela) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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