IFK Trelleborg 1-1 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
1.6
No
36%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
32%
4-5
33%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.5pp
36%
BTTS No
42%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 21%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
1.79/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.82
-22% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Trelleborg
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Balkan
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 3-2 HT 1-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
27.05.2024 Balkan Balkan 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
14.08.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 2-2 HT 1-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
14.04.2023 Balkan Balkan 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg and Balkan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Trelleborg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Balkan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for IFK Trelleborg and 2.00 for Balkan.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs Balkan?

IFK Trelleborg 1-1 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 52%, draw 30%, Balkan 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Trelleborg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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