Melbourne City 0-0 Adelaide United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 26 Apr 2025

Melbourne City
0-0 HT 0-0
Adelaide United
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒12:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.93
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.15
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.73
X/2
9%
9.68
X/X
10%
6.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.9
2/2
10%
6.39
2/X
7%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.9 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne City v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.98/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.02
+18% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
16.8 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Adelaide United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.61 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
447 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2025 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
25.01.2024 Melbourne City Melbourne City 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
29.10.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 6-0 HT 2-0 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
03.03.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 4-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City Melbourne City AVUS
29.01.2023 Melbourne City Melbourne City 3-3 HT 1-3 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
22.05.2022 Melbourne City Melbourne City 2-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS

Melbourne City 0-0 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City
0-0
AWAY Adelaide United
2.30 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
409 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melbourne City vs Adelaide United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City and Adelaide United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne City had 56% of the ball to Adelaide United's 44%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.30 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Melbourne City and 2.50 for Adelaide United.

What was the final score of Melbourne City vs Adelaide United?

Melbourne City 0-0 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City vs Adelaide United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 53%, draw 22%, Adelaide United 25%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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