Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 2-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-2
HT 1-1
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 1-0 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar nicked a narrow win over Wellington Phoenix 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brisbane Roar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 56% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 44%, shots finished 30-6, expected goals 1.83 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.83 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Brisbane Roar 1-0 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 47%, draw 25%, Wellington Phoenix 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.