Cercle Brugge 3-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.44
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.25
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.42
X/2
11%
6.73
X/X
17%
4.64
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.57
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · X/1 at 5.42 — our 21% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.50/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
-22% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.8 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 1.54
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
221 Passes 421
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-1 HT 2-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.12.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
04.12.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEK
29.09.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge saw off St. Truidense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Cercle Brugge made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.17 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Cercle Brugge 3-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 40%, draw 30%, St. Truidense 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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