Sporting Charleroi 4-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.97
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
5%
11.1
X/X
16%
6.06
2/1
10%
21.3
2/2
12%
8.71
2/X
4%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.91/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.23
-11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
20.4 Crosses 18.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dender EH
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 0.51
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
499 Passes 256
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
01.02.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 5-0 HT 3-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
05.10.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.05.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
20.12.2008 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
05.04.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-4 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
4-1
AWAY Dender EH
2.77 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
403 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi swept aside Dender EH 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 54% of the ball to Dender EH's 46%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.77 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.00 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH?

Sporting Charleroi 4-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 53%, draw 26%, Dender EH 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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