Westerlo 2-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.39
1/2
11%
24.2
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
14%
6.02
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
8%
5.83
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
12%
3.7
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 39%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.61/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.42
-3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.8 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mechelen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.83 xG 2.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
362 Passes 372
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 2-3 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
20.12.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
03.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-4 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
18.05.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
13.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
08.03.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-1 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-2
AWAY Mechelen
3.79 xG 2.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and Mechelen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Westerlo had 48% of the ball to Mechelen's 52%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 3.79 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Westerlo and 2.17 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Mechelen?

Westerlo 2-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 39%, draw 25%, Mechelen 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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