OH Leuven 1-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.12
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.87
X/2
9%
6.78
X/X
15%
4.26
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.2
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.66/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.62
+15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.8 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.16 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
07.12.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
31.08.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
05.05.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-1
AWAY Standard Liege
1.90 xG 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
342 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven and Standard Liege couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was OH Leuven at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 56% of the ball to Standard Liege's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.90 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for OH Leuven and 0.50 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

OH Leuven 1-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 45%, draw 27%, Standard Liege 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OH Leuven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Under 2.5
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