Coritiba 2-0 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.45
Over
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
38%
1.99
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
17%
5.98
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +6%
1.30/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.09
+3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.3 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Operario PR
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 0.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
28.05.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 3-0 HT 3-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
26.02.2023 Operario PR Operario PR 3-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRPR
28.01.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRPR1
04.11.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 3-1 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
26.07.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
2-0
AWAY Operario PR
0.61 xG 0.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
301 Passes 446
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba got the better of Operario PR 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Coritiba had 41% of the ball to Operario PR's 59%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.61 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coritiba and 1.50 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Operario PR?

Coritiba 2-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 48%, draw 30%, Operario PR 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
26 Apr 2025
01:00 Criciuma vs Remo Analysis →
03:00 Vila Nova vs Chapecoense Analysis →