Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kerala Blasters v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals
Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kerala Blasters
HİNSL
2-1
HT 1-1
Kerala Blasters
HİNSL
2-5
HT 1-2
ATK Mohun Bagan
HİNSL
ATK Mohun Bagan edged past Kerala Blasters 2-1 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kerala Blasters at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kerala Blasters and 2.83 for ATK Mohun Bagan.
What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Kerala Blasters 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super Cup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 71%, draw 18%, ATK Mohun Bagan 11%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kerala Blasters), BTTS No went the other way.