Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.82/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.80
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 HT 1-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
19.10.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
20.04.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
25.11.2023 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1-0
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Croatia Zmijavci 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Dubrava Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 53% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 47%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 1.50 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 40%, draw 31%, Croatia Zmijavci 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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