Jarun 0-5 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
31%
-7.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 32%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.81/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.83
-28% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2025 Jarun Jarun 0-1 HT 0-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
22.09.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-2 HT 0-2 Jarun Jarun HIR2
23.03.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-3 HT 1-2 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
23.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 0-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
30.09.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
0-5
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo ran out comfortable winners over Jarun 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Jarun at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Jarun had 50% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 50%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jarun and 1.20 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Jarun 0-5 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jarun 48%, draw 24%, Bijelo Brdo 28%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Jarun), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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