Katowice 1-3 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.24/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.37
+39% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
25.7 Crosses 18.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.91 xG 4.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
266 Passes 473
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 63
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 4-1 HT 2-1 Katowice Katowice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
1-3
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.33 xG 2.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
377 Passes 416
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 43
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova saw off Katowice 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Legia Varşova found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Katowice had 47% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 53%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 1.33 to 2.80.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Legia Varşova?

Katowice 1-3 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Katowice 35%, draw 25%, Legia Varşova 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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