Motor Lublin 0-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.95
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
12%
7.02
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.75
2/2
17%
4.75
2/X
9%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 33%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.51/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.00
+10% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.7 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
1.40 xG 3.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 6
354 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 6-2 HT 2-2 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
0-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.24 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
418 Passes 322
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow edged past Motor Lublin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Cracovia Krakow made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 57% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 43%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.24 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Motor Lublin 0-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 39%, draw 25%, Cracovia Krakow 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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