Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 26 Apr 2025

Lechia Gdansk
3-1 HT 2-0
Piast Gliwice
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.73/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.45
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.1 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
330 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-3 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
27.05.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-0 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
13.11.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-3 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.03.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
18.09.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
17.04.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-2 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.38 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
274 Passes 406
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk got the better of Piast Gliwice 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Lechia Gdansk made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 43% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 57%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 2.00 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice?

Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 39%, draw 26%, Piast Gliwice 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ Under 2.5
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