Chayka 0-2 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
19%
+14.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
55%
-14.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 59%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.39/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.49
+56% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +63%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
231 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
06.10.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 5-0 HT 2-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
0-2
AWAY FC Sochi
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chayka vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi got the better of Chayka 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sochi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chayka had 50% of the ball to FC Sochi's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Chayka vs FC Sochi?

Chayka 0-2 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chayka 34%, draw 25%, FC Sochi 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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