KAMAZ 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.27/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.12
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
2W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
12.05.2024 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
02.10.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
22.04.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-2 HT 1-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
01.10.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
1-0
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ squeezed past FK Rodina Moskva 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and on the day KAMAZ made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, KAMAZ had 53% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 47%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for KAMAZ and 1.20 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs FK Rodina Moskva?

KAMAZ 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 37%, draw 26%, FK Rodina Moskva 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
26 Apr 2025
08:00 SKA Khabarovsk vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →
14:00 Ural vs Baltika Kaliningrad Analysis →
18:00 Chayka vs FC Sochi Analysis →