Sivasspor 2-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 24% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.50/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.49
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.2 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
322 Passes 373
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
24.01.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 2-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.08.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.04.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
31.10.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
06.03.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
2-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.85 xG 0.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
281 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor got the better of Antalyaspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Sivasspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 44% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.85 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sivasspor and 1.50 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Antalyaspor?

Sivasspor 2-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 40%, draw 29%, Antalyaspor 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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