Qingdao Jonoon 4-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
7%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.65
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
11%
8.44
X/2
14%
4.47
X/X
14%
5.03
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
31%
2.39
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.65 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.72/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.35
+3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.5 Crosses 19.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.31 xG 2.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 343
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
24.08.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-2 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
01.05.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
15.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
13.09.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-4 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
4-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
2.97 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 Passes 341
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon swept aside Shandong Taishan 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Shandong Taishan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 42% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 58%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.97 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.50 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Taishan?

Qingdao Jonoon 4-1 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 23%, draw 25%, Shandong Taishan 52%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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