Dalian Zhixing 1-3 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.14
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.69
X/2
9%
9.66
X/X
7%
6.0
2/1
9%
19.8
2/2
11%
6.6
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · X/1 at 4.69 — our 24% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.00/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.93
-9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.7 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
238 Passes 240
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-1 HT 0-1 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
01.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 3-2 HT 2-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
26.10.2024 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 2-0 HT 2-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-3 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1-3
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.37 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 1
275 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun beat Dalian Zhixing 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dalian Zhixing at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 50% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 50%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.37 to 1.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dalian Zhixing.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yunnan Yukun led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dalian Zhixing and 2.00 for Yunnan Yukun.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun?

Dalian Zhixing 1-3 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 57%, draw 19%, Yunnan Yukun 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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