HB Koge 1-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

HB Koge
1-1 HT 1-1
Aalborg
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

HB Koge vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
9.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.13
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.28
X/2
14%
6.35
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.5
2/2
16%
4.16
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.86/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
+34% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.6 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

HB Koge vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Aalborg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
354 Passes 460
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
10.08.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
03.12.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.09.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 2-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.11.2019 HB Koge HB Koge 0-3 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
20.05.2012 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN

HB Koge 1-1 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
1-1
AWAY Aalborg
0.99 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
279 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge and Aalborg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HB Koge had 44% of the ball to Aalborg's 56%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.99 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for HB Koge and 2.00 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Aalborg?

HB Koge 1-1 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a HB Koge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 39%, draw 23%, Aalborg 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HB Koge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HB Koge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
26 Apr 2026
15:00 Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK Analysis →