Aarhus Fremad 0-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.42
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
19%
4.51
X/2
5%
8.41
X/X
15%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
14%
6.38
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.05/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.35
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
23.1 Crosses 18.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
478 Passes 332
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN1
24.09.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAK
20.09.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-0 HT 2-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
0-1
AWAY Hobro IK
1.66 xG 1.45
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
449 Passes 146
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
39 Box Touches 25
34 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK squeezed past Aarhus Fremad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 69% of the ball to Hobro IK's 31%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.66 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.33 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK?

Aarhus Fremad 0-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 46%, draw 27%, Hobro IK 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
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