Orlando Pirates 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.81/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.03
+18% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.9 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
272 Passes 297
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2026 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-3 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
10.05.2025 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFK
03.05.2025 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
01.02.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
09.03.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-2 HT 1-2 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
11.11.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
1-1
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
1.17 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
277 Passes 195
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates and Kaizer Chiefs couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Orlando Pirates carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 57% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 43%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.17 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.83 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Orlando Pirates 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 64%, draw 21%, Kaizer Chiefs 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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