Richards Bay 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
70%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.95
6+ Goals
11%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
10%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
70%
Away Win
68%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.3pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
0.60/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.63
-7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +47%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
13.3 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.49 xG 1.59
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
166 Passes 626
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 HT 3-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
03.08.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 HT 2-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAF8K
30.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
28.12.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
02.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
23.08.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
0-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.85 xG 0.95
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
168 Passes 544
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Crosses 31
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mamelodi Sundowns at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Richards Bay had 28% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 72%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.85 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Richards Bay and 2.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Richards Bay 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 9%, draw 21%, Mamelodi Sundowns 70%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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