Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2026

Lusitania FC Lourosa
2-0 HT 1-0
Paços De Ferreira
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lusitania FC Lourosa v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.21/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.26
+1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.4 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
192 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.12.2025 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-5 HT 1-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR2

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
2-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
0.78 xG 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
119 Passes 318
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Paços De Ferreira
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lusitania FC Lourosa beat Paços De Ferreira 2-0 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 39% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 61%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Paços De Ferreira?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 37%, draw 29%, Paços De Ferreira 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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