Benfica II 1-2 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +8%
1.63/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.27
+24% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses 17.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Maritimo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.01 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
297 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2025 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
13.04.2025 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 1-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
01.12.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
04.02.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 3-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
27.08.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
1-2
AWAY Maritimo
0.40 xG 1.81
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
342 Passes 110
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Benfica II vs Maritimo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Maritimo edged past Benfica II 2-1 away from home in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Benfica II had 67% of the ball to Maritimo's 33%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.40 to 1.81.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maritimo lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Benfica II and 1.60 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Maritimo?

Benfica II 1-2 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 35%, draw 28%, Maritimo 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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