Penafiel 3-0 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penafiel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.35/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.37
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penafiel
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Porto II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
260 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.12.2025 Porto II Porto II 1-0 HT 1-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
16.02.2025 Porto II Porto II 3-2 HT 0-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
15.09.2024 Penafiel Penafiel 1-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
30.03.2024 Porto II Porto II 3-1 HT 1-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
11.11.2023 Penafiel Penafiel 3-2 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
03.04.2023 Penafiel Penafiel 1-2 HT 0-2 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penafiel
3-0
AWAY Porto II
1.86 xG 0.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
294 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Penafiel vs Porto II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Penafiel ran out comfortable winners over Porto II 3-0 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Penafiel had 48% of the ball to Porto II's 52%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 1.86 to 0.58.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Penafiel and 2.00 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Penafiel vs Porto II?

Penafiel 3-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 40%, draw 27%, Porto II 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penafiel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penafiel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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