Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.30/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.47
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.2 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
230 Passes 281
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
15.05.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TP1L
18.01.2025 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
11.08.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-2 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
13.01.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
13.08.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
2.50 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
482 Passes 208
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK and Bandırmaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 66% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 34%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.50 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.00 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?

Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 54%, draw 24%, Bandırmaspor 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ BTTS No
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