Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Keçiörengücü v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals
Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
0-3
HT 0-1
Manisa FK
T1L
Keçiörengücü 2-1 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics
Keçiörengücü nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Keçiörengücü had 64% of the ball to Manisa FK's 36%, shots finished 31-4, expected goals 3.51 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Keçiörengücü's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.17 for Manisa FK.
What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK?
Keçiörengücü 2-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 58%, draw 23%, Manisa FK 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.