Polessya 3-1 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-2.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.83/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.99
-12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-4 HT 0-2 Polessya Polessya UKR
28.02.2025 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
25.08.2024 Polessya Polessya 4-0 HT 3-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
16.03.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
02.09.2023 Polessya Polessya 2-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya saw off Obolon Kyiv 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Polessya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Polessya and 0.20 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Obolon Kyiv?

Polessya 3-1 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Polessya 67%, draw 21%, Obolon Kyiv 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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