Indy Eleven 1-2 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
38%
2.94
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
16%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.7pp
37%
Draw
31%
+6.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
354 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.42
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
123 Passes 458
55% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2026 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-2 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha ABDK
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha squeezed past Indy Eleven 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 37% / 24%) promised a tight game; Union Omaha found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha?

Indy Eleven 1-2 Union Omaha in the USLKP on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 38%, draw 37%, Union Omaha 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Indy Eleven), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLKP More USLKP
26 Apr 2026
01:00 Loudoun United vs Charleston Battery Analysis →
01:00 Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence Analysis →
02:00 Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Corpus Christi Analysis →
02:00 Louisville City vs Fort Wayne Analysis →
02:00 Lexington vs Forward Madison Analysis →
02:00 Westchester SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine Analysis →